2010 Predictions

Thinking that this year will be fairly quiet. So here are my predictions.

1)There is more debt in the world, than money available to pay that debt. The debt can never ever be repaid. All the government stimulus is just delaying the inevitable. This is unsustainable economics and it eventually must collapse. It will begin with the US dollar becoming nearly worthless. The entire collapse won’t happen this year but here are some signs to look out for:

-More countries will stop accepting payment in USD for goods and debt repayments
-Oil price will become based in Euros not USD

-Small Finace companies (who did not get anybailout money BTW) will continue to quietly fold.


2) Obama will get health care reform passed and then be killed
3) Ricky Ponting will announce his retirement at the end of the ASHES.
4) Wrestling fans will continue to whine about the product rather than just stop watching like I did.
5) The big one will hit LA.
6) Israel will pre-emptively strike Iranian nuclear facilities. (it is a sure thing this year)
7) Life will be found on Mars

Like I said pretty quiet year coming up. The real shit won’t hit the fan until November 2011

Agy Gil vs Shonan Maru 2

It’s that time of year again. That’s right folks it’s time for Whale Wars. First let me state my position on whaling. I don’t really have a problem with Japan killing Minke whales for scientific research (i.e eating). I do however have a problem with them doing it in the Antarctic sanctuary and the loophole which allows them to do so needs to be closed. That would however mean that Garrett and Rudd would have to grow some balls. However this is not about a whaling debate but about the collision between the Ady Gil and MV Shōnan Maru 2 and who is going to lose when this eventually ends up in court.

Let’s look at the Vital stats of these boats. (From Wikipedia)

Ady Gil:


Type: Trimaran
Displacement: 13 ton
Length: 78 ft (24 m)
Beam: 23 ft (7.0 m)
Draught: 4 ft (1.2 m)
Draft: 14 ft (4.3 m)
Propulsion: 2 x 350 kW (540 hp) Cummins MercruiseGearboxes: ZF 305A (single speed)
Speed: 45 knots (83.3 km/h)


Shonan Maru 2


Class and type: Fisheries
Tonnage: 491
Length: 52.3 metres (172 ft)
Beam: 8.6 metres (28.2 ft)
Draft: 3.4 metres (11.2 ft)
Decks: 80 square metres
Propulsion: 1 x Diesel 1100BHP
Speed: 12 knots

Now if you haven’t seen the videos than get on youtube and have a look. I find it interesting that the Ady Gil made no attempt to move out of the way. This leads me to believe that Captain Paul Watson (not really a captain by the way) may have sacrificed this boat in the name of publicity. I’ll keep my opinions of this moron out of this though.

One of the videos would have you believe that the Shonan Maru 2 turned suddenly to hit the Ady Gil. Um a 500 ton boat does not turn suddenly. This appears so due to the fact that the boat taking the film was moving and it’s viewing angle changed.

Both side blames the other off course but at the end of the day the very fast and nimble Ady Gil could have got out of the way if it wanted to. The Video from Shonan Naru shows Ady Gil moving in front of the Japanese ship, not idling as the activist would have you believe

My opinion is this. If you put your little 13 ton carbon fiber boat directly in front of a near 500 ton fishing boat which could not have stopped even if it was so inclined (which it wasn’t) than don’t whine when you get run the fuck over.

Even if you were sitting there doing nothing then it is probably wise to move when you see and hear a big boat heading straight for you. Case dismissed.

One more thing. I can’t condone the Japanese not helping after the collision. That’s naughty.

Goodbye.

Gee almost a year since I have posted anything. So let’s look how I went with my 2009 predictions before posting my 2010 ones.

1) Well Barrack is still alive and there were less attempts than in 08. (Wrong)
2) I was a year too early on this prediction (Wrong time)
3) We got to 95c (very close to true)
4) True
5) They will do it soon trust me (wrong)
6) No Brainer
7) Well she hasn’t abdicated but has any one seen or heard from her last year
8) True. Oh how well the US MSM spun Russia as the bad guy in this one. Sickening.
9) Yep
10) Clever accounting stopped us getting there officially, however if I work five days a month casual and am looking for a full time job I don’t count in the unemployment figures. Job seeker data is more accurate than dodgy unemployment figures IMO.

Expect 2010 predictions soon.